Starting Now
Even if actual decisions on the future CAP will only be taken in 2012/13, the ground for fundamental reform has to be prepared now. However, many reform-oriented stakeholders find it difficult to dedicate resources and take positions so far in advance, especially if agriculture is not at the core of their concerns. It is therefore crucial for reform promoters to create momentum that inspires others to join the campaign for a better CAP, and to actively engage additional stakeholders in the debate.
Here are some arguments to convince other stakeholders to advance the debate now:
Shape open debate
The European Commission and the different ministries in the member states have not yet adopted clear positions on the long-term future of the CAP. Most policymakers are highly uncertain of which direction to take. This is a window of opportunity for shaping the debate. If reform promoters do not drive the debate, risk-averse policymakers who want to remain within the generally accepted discourse will gravitate towards conservatism. Once a conservative framework has been established, it will be too late for radical departures.
Mitigate fears
Most people are afraid of ‘revolution’. One of the strongest claims of old-style-CAP-defenders is stability. Having an extensive debate well in advance of decision taking will accustom people to new ideas. Furthermore, once fundamental CAP reform is considered a serious option, additional efforts will be undertaken to work out the details of its possible implementation. The more experts confirm the feasibility of fundamental reform, develop policy blueprints, and assess economic, social, and environmental effects, the more fears about radical change will abate.
Multiply commitments
It takes time to have organizations commit to fundamental CAP reform – in speeches, position papers, and political programs. Such visible commitment is important to demonstrate that radical change is within reach and to ensure that organizations will not backtrack when decisions come closer and pressure rises.
Use tailwinds
The European Commission will submit its conclusions from the Budget review and the Council will finalize the EU2020 strategy (that will replace the Lisbon Strategy). CAP reform promoters should use the tailwind of this process: The systematic analysis of EU spending based on generally acknowledged principles and the emphasis on the ambitions of the EU undermines the CAP. Also, the stress on the opportunity costs of EU spending engages additional stakeholders in the CAP debate.